Kumar Rocker’s walk issues have been showing up all season, and Washington is exactly the kind of lineup that drags those problems to the surface. He’s cleared 1.5 walks in 15 of 21 starts, and he’s been even shakier at home — 10 of his last 12 in Texas have gone over. The Nationals have quietly become one of the more patient offenses over the last month, sitting top‑10 in walk rate and OBP against right‑handed pitching. That combination makes this a clean spot to back another elevated walk total.

Washington doesn’t chase much, they work deep counts, and they’ve forced multiple walks out of several righties recently. Rocker’s command has dipped even further in his last three outings, pairing a 12.9% walk rate with a 2.25 WHIP and plenty of hard contact. With the Nationals trending up in plate discipline and Rocker trending down in control, the matchup lines up perfectly for 2+ free passes.