Kent State at Ball State Prediction & Betting Pick | College Football Week 11

📅 Date: Wednesday, November 5, 2025
🕖 Time: 7:00 PM EST
🏟️ Venue: Scheumann Stadium - Muncie, IN

This is a MAC matchup between two 3–5 teams, but the edges lean Ball State’s way — especially at home. The Cardinals have a clear identity: run the ball, control tempo, and let their defensive front dictate terms. Kent State’s offense has shown flashes, but they’ve struggled to sustain drives against pressure, and that’s exactly what Ball State brings with Voorhis off the edge and Chea cleaning up in the middle.

Kent State’s win over Bowling Green was gritty, but it didn’t solve their core issues. They’re still allowing over 36 points per game, and their offensive line has had trouble keeping Dru DeShields upright. Cade Wolford is a legit deep threat, but if DeShields doesn’t get time, those vertical shots won’t materialize. Ball State’s front seven should be able to collapse the pocket and force quick throws — not Kent State’s strength.

On the other side, Kiael Kelly isn’t flashy, but he’s effective when the run game is working. Qua Ashley has quietly been one of the MAC’s more efficient backs, and his ability to churn out 5+ yards per carry keeps Ball State ahead of schedule. That’s key against a Kent State defense that’s vulnerable on early downs and hasn’t consistently tackled well in space.

Ball State’s defense has been better at home, holding two opponents under 20 points, and they’ve shown they can control games when they get a lead. If they score first and force Kent State to chase, the Golden Flashes are in trouble — they’re not built to play from behind, especially on the road. Expect Ball State to lean on the run, chew clock, and wear down a defense that’s been on the field too much this season.

The line is short because neither team has a winning record, but Ball State’s physicality and home-field edge make -2 a strong play. They’ve got the better defense, the more reliable run game, and a pass rush that can disrupt Kent State’s rhythm. This isn’t a shootout — it’s a grind-it-out MAC clash where the Cardinals should control the pace and pull away late.

📌 Official Picks
Ball State -2 -110

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