Dallas Cowboys at Detroit Lions Prediction & Betting Pick | NFL Thursday Night Football December 4, 2025

📅 Date: Thursday, December 4, 2025
🕖 Time: 8:15 PM PM EST
🏟️ Venue: Ford Field - Detroit, MI

Dallas heads to Detroit with the passing game humming, and both sides have pieces that can torch coverage. CeeDee finally edged Pickens last week, but the bigger takeaway is this offense keeps feeding both with volume and leverage. Against a Lions secondary that just let Jordan Love rip four touchdowns while Wicks and Watson piled up 174 yards and three scores, Dallas’ top target walks into a friendly runway on Thursday night.

From a usage and matchup lens, CeeDee’s path is clean. Detroit’s corners have struggled to pass off crossers and defend layered concepts, and Dallas has been ruthless about isolating Lamb in space — motion, stacks, and quick tempo to force mismatches. With this game projected near the top of the week’s totals, there’s enough possession volume for Lamb to clear 80 without needing a perfect script. Even if Pickens siphons chunk plays, Lamb’s first-read role keeps the floor intact.

Flip it to Detroit: Goff has rattled off 284, 320, 255, 279, and 256 over his last five — 5-for-5 against his yardage numbers. The line’s banged up, sure, but the ball’s still coming out on time and distribution has been sharp. Detroit’s play-action and intermediate game remain efficient, and Goff’s accuracy in the 10–20 yard window has carried the offense through pockets of pressure.

The matchup pushes him further. Dallas has been leaky against the pass — living near the bottom in EPA per dropback, giving up north of 250 passing yards per game, and recently letting Mahomes hit 261 on Thanksgiving. They blitz, they chase splash plays, and they’ll give you windows between the hashes if protection holds for that first beat. Detroit’s route inventory attacks those spaces all night.

Game flow helps both props. With two offenses that want to push and two defenses showing cracks in coverage, we’re likely looking at sustained drives on both sides. Even if Dallas jumps early, Goff’s environment is built for patient volume. If it’s tight late, Lamb stays involved — third downs, red-zone pivots, and those manufactured touches that keep the chains moving.

📌 Official Picks
CeeDee Lamb (Dallas Cowboys) 80+ Receiving Yards -125
Jared Goff (Detroit Lions) Over 252.5 Passing Yards -110

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