Texas at Ohio State Prediction & Betting Pick | College Football Week 1

๐Ÿ“… Date: Saturday, August 30, 2025
๐Ÿ•– Time: 12:00 PM EST
๐ŸŸ๏ธ Venue: Ohio Stadium โ€“ Columbus, Ohio

Week 1 delivers a historic showdown as No. 1 Texas travels to face defending national champion No. 3 Ohio State at the Horseshoe. This marquee matchup features the start of the Arch Manning era in Austin and offers immediate playoff implications.

Texas enters the season seeking revenge after a heartbreaking Cotton Bowl semifinal loss to Ohio State last season. The Longhorns are armed with Arch Manning, making his first career start as the full-time quarterback. Manning, the preseason Heisman favorite, is surrounded by talented targets including DeAndre Moore Jr. and Ryan Wingo, and is backed by a stout defensive unit returning five starters in the secondary. Texasโ€™ defense held Ohio Stateโ€™s star receiver Jeremiah Smith to a single catch for three yards last season, a matchup that will again play a pivotal role.

Ohio State counters with first-time starting QB Julian Sayin, replacing last yearโ€™s Cotton Bowl hero Quinn Ewers. The Buckeyes also feature Jeremiah Smith and safety Caleb Downs, but the team has undergone significant changes. Ohio State returns only three defensive starters, replaces its entire defensive line, and welcomes a new offensive staff with Brian Hartline and Matt Patricia stepping in after the departures of Chip Kelly and Jim Knowles.

Key Matchups:

  • Offensive Lines: Both squads have rebuilt offensive lines, and early success will hinge on whether Texas can protect Manning and Ohio State can give Sayin time to find Smith downfield.

  • Defensive Pressure: Texas returns three of its top pass-rushers, including Colin Simmons and Anthony Hill, who will challenge Ohio Stateโ€™s new offensive line from the jump.

  • Secondary Battle: Texasโ€™ experienced secondary is the key to limiting Smith and slowing down the Buckeyesโ€™ offense.

Texasโ€™ defense, along with a balanced offensive attack, gives the Longhorns an edge despite playing on the road. Manningโ€™s ability to mix the pass and run will be critical against an Ohio State defense that lost key coordinators and a majority of its starters.

๐Ÿ“Œ Official Pick
Texas ML (-110)

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