Jessica Pegula vs Victoria Azarenka Prediction & Betting Pick | US Open 2025

📅 Date: Friday, August 29, 2025
🕖 Time: 1:30 PM EST
🏟️ Venue: Arthur Ashe Stadium – New York, USA

Jessica Pegula arrives at this stage with much-needed momentum after a few months plagued by early exits and surprise defeats to lower-ranked opponents such as Anastasija Sevastova and Magda Linette. Despite her patchy form earlier this year, the American has rediscovered her rhythm at the US Open, looking sharper and more composed in her opening matches.

Pegula advanced to the third round in dominant fashion, dispatching Mayar Sherif and Anna Blinkova in straight sets, dropping no more than four games in either match. This is her first event with multiple wins since claiming the title in Bad Homburg earlier this summer. At the US Open, she has been a steady performer in recent years, with a runner-up finish in 2024 and three straight third-round wins since 2021.

Victoria Azarenka, on the other hand, enters this clash with far less momentum. The 36-year-old former World No. 1 has endured a poor season, registering only nine main-draw wins across 12 tournaments. However, she managed to overcome Anastasiya Pavlyuchenkova 6-3, 6-3 in the second round, showing flashes of her old baseline dominance. After trailing 0-3 in the opening set, Azarenka stormed back by winning 10 of the next 11 games, underlining her fighting spirit.

Still, the Belarusian remains inconsistent and is playing her first event since Wimbledon. Historically, she has a 7–7 record in US Open third-round matches, often falling short at this stage despite her three career runner-up finishes in New York.

This will be the seventh career meeting between Pegula and Azarenka, with their head-to-head tied at 3–3. Pegula edged their most recent encounter in Charleston last year in a deciding-set tiebreak. Given Pegula’s sharper form and Azarenka’s limited match fitness, the American should hold the advantage in what could still be a competitive battle.

With Pegula moving well, defending with efficiency, and feeding off the home crowd, she looks better prepared to handle the pressure moments. Azarenka can trouble her with experience, but consistency is likely to let her down.

📌 Official Pick
Jessica Pegula 2-0 (-120)

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