Cincinnati vs Texas Tech Prediction & Betting Pick | College Basketball February 24, 2026

📅 Date: Tuesday, February 24, 2026
🕖 Time: 6:00 PM EST
🏟️ Venue: United Supermarkets Arena - Lubbock, TX

The Red Raiders are 13‑1 at home and have been lighting it up from deep all season — this roster lives and dies by the three, and Lubbock is where that attack is most dangerous. Backing the Red Raiders at home against a Cincinnati team that’s streaky on the road feels like the right play.

With a 13‑1 home record and only two home games remaining, No.16 Texas Tech looks to continue its home dominance and snap a four‑game winning streak by Cincinnati when it hosts the Bearcats at 6 p.m. on Tuesday at United Supermarkets Arena.

Texas Tech’s identity is obvious: elite spacing, volume from beyond the arc, and a high assist rate that turns makes into momentum. Christian Anderson runs the show (7.7 APG) and Donovan Atwell is a certified catch‑and‑shoot weapon — when those two are clicking, Tech’s offense becomes very difficult to slow without fouling or collapsing the defense and giving up open threes.

Cincinnati’s recent win at Kansas is real and impressive, but it doesn’t erase the Bearcats’ road inconsistencies this season. They’re 2‑5 in Big 12 road games overall and have struggled to cover away from home; their defense is stout, but they don’t consistently generate the offensive efficiency needed to keep pace with a hot Tech attack in Lubbock.

Only four regular-season games remain for the Red Raiders who are playing without JT Toppin for the remainder of the season after he suffered an ACL tear in his right knee at Arizona State on February 17.

Toppin’s absence matters, but Tech’s depth has stepped up — Luke Bamgboye, LeJuan Watts and Atwell have all shown they can fill scoring minutes, and the team’s three‑point volume (and accuracy) keeps the scoreboard moving even without a dominant post presence.

Matchups favor the home team. Texas Tech ranks near the top of the Big 12 in made threes and effective field‑goal percentage; Cincinnati defends well overall, but they’re not elite at limiting opponent three‑point makes. If Tech hits its usual number of triples, the Bearcats will be forced into uncomfortable possessions and quick decisions.

Rebounding and turnover battle will be the hinge points. Cincinnati gets a lot from Baba Miller on the glass and forces turnovers at a solid clip, but Tech’s guards take care of the ball and the Red Raiders’ assist‑to‑turnover ratio is strong. That possession control at home should translate into more clean looks and fewer second‑chance points for Cincinnati.

Game script matters: expect Tech to push tempo early, hunt threes, and try to build a lead before Cincinnati’s defense can grind the pace. If the Red Raiders get comfortable from distance, the spread will look small fast. Conversely, if Cincinnati slows it and wins the rebound battle, they can keep it close — but that’s the less likely path in Lubbock.

📌 Official Pick
Texas Tech -5.5 -125

#TeamPremium
A structured, data-driven approach to sports betting grounded in market movement, pricing, and disciplined execution.
Membership includes
• Daily Premium Picks
• Advanced Statistics & Market Data
• Proven Betting Framework
Use code MONEY to receive 30% off your membership.
OddsJam users receive 35% off with code PREMIUM.