Las Vegas Aces at Los Angeles Sparks Prediction & Betting Pick | WNBA
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Date: Thursday, September 11, 2025
π Time: 8:00 PM EST
ποΈ Venue: Crypto.com Arena β Los Angeles, CA
Game Preview
The Las Vegas Aces close out the regular season with a crucial matchup against the Los Angeles Sparks. For Las Vegas, the stakes are clear: win, and they lock up the No. 2 seed heading into the postseason. For Los Angeles, already eliminated from playoff contention, this game is more about pride β or perhaps the opportunity to play spoiler.
Aβja Wilson continues to perform at an MVP level, carrying the Aces through their remarkable 15-game winning streak. She dropped 34 points the last time these teams met, and against a Sparks defense that ranks near the bottom of the league, sheβs well-positioned for another dominant outing.
Sparks Outlook
Los Angeles enters this contest with nothing on the line and could consider resting key players in the regular-season finale. If that happens, young talents like Sarah Ashlee Barker, Sania Feagin, and Alissa Pili could see extended minutes. Even if the Sparks roll with a full roster, their recent struggles highlight the gap between them and elite teams like Las Vegas.
The Sparks have been strong offensively at times, averaging 85.9 points per game, but their defensive woes have cost them all season. Theyβve allowed opponents to score 87.9 points per game, the second-worst mark in the WNBA.
Aces Outlook
Las Vegas enters Thursday night in peak form. Their balance on both ends of the floor has been evident during this win streak, with Wilson leading the way and Chelsea Gray orchestrating the offense. The Aces average 83.2 points per gamewhile allowing 80.9, and theyβve consistently overwhelmed weaker teams early by building big first-half leads.
Key Betting Trends
Aces have won 15 straight games heading into this matchup.
In their most recent meeting, Las Vegas beat Los Angeles 89-74 on the road.
The Aces have a strong record covering first-half spreads, especially during their current streak.
Sparks have lost four of their last eight games, giving up big scoring runs in the first half.
Betting Pick
The Aces are motivated to finish strong and lock down the No. 2 seed, while the Sparks have little to play for and may rotate heavily. With Wilson in dominant form and Las Vegas building quick leads against inferior teams, the first-half line offers the best value here.
π Official Pick
Las Vegas Aces -6.5 First Half (-110)
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