Luciano Darderi vs Eliot Spizzirri Prediction & Betting Pick | US Open 2025
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Date: Wednesday, August 27, 2025
๐ Time: 5:00 PM EST
๐๏ธ Venue: USTA Billie Jean King NTC โ New York, USA
Luciano Darderi produced one of the best matches of his career to earn his first-ever hard-court Grand Slam victory, dismantling Rinky Hijikata 6-2, 6-1, 6-2 in just 84 minutes. The Italian lost only two points behind his first serve, did not face a single break point, and finished with just 11 unforced errors. While most of his 2025 success has come on clay โ winning three ATP Tour titles โ this dominant showing suggests he may be finding form on hard courts at just the right time.
Eliot Spizzirri also impressed in his opener, defeating Stefan Dostanic 7-5, 6-4, 7-6 for his first career Grand Slam main-draw win. Ranked World No. 127, the American showed grit by recovering after being broken while serving for the opening set, and he benefitted from keeping his error count low. With home support in New York, Spizzirri will bring plenty of energy and fight to this matchup.
Still, this is a step up in class. Darderiโs heavier baseline game, combined with his ability to control rallies, should allow him to dictate the tempo. Spizzirriโs defense and crowd advantage may keep him competitive, but over the course of three to four sets, the Italianโs superior shot-making and composure are likely to prove decisive.
Key Stats:
Luciano Darderi (2025): 3 ATP titles (all on clay), 3-7 record on outdoor hard courts, 11 unforced errors in US Open R1.
Eliot Spizzirri (2025): World No. 127, first career Grand Slam main-draw win, 14-10 record on hard courts across ATP & Challenger.
Darderi did not face a single break point in his opener.
Spizzirri has yet to beat a Top 50 opponent in 2025.
๐ Official Pick
Luciano Darderi -2.5 (-120)
Eliot Spizzirriโs fight and home-court edge canโt be overlooked, but Luciano Darderiโs superior experience and clean baseline game should see him through. The Italian is playing with confidence and should have enough to cover the small game handicap.
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