Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints Prediction & Betting Pick | NFL 25-26 Week 8
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Date: Sunday, October 26, 2025
๐ Time: 4:05 PM EST
๐๏ธ Venue: Caesars Superdome - New Orleans, LA
Ottonโs role has quietly expanded and the last three games prove it: roughly a 19% target share, about 66 receiving yards per outing, and high involvement as the first read. With Mike Evans out, Tampa Bay is funneling more intermediate, safe-volume looks to its tight end. On Monday night Otton led the team with seven catches and 65 yards, and that level of involvement looks sustainable when the top wideouts are shelved.
Matchup matters here. New Orleans plays single-high frequently โ one of the leagueโs highest rates โ and that structure gives tight ends clear leverage over middle zones. Ottonโs splits versus single-high are stronger than his baseline: higher target share, better yards per route run, and more first-read looks. The Saints also rank in the bottom half against opposing receiving attacks, and theyโve been generous to tight ends in both receptions and yards allowed.
Script and volume create the clearest path to cash: Baker Mayfield is comfortable throwing to his tight end on rhythm plays, short in-breaking routes, and early checkdowns that turn into YAC. With Tampa likely to lean on quick progressions and create schematic space for the TE, Otton should see 6โ9 targets in a game plan that converts a handful of those into chunk plays. Thatโs the exact profile that wins the 40โ50 yard legs and keeps the ladder live into the bigger payouts.
Risk is real โ if Tampa gets blown out or the Saints force vertical looks, targets could tilt elsewhere โ but the data and matchup point to consistent volume for Otton. The primary upside is steady target share plus favorable single-high leverage; the secondary upside is a couple of intermediate conversions that vault him into the higher rungs. Iโm backing this ladder because the usage trend and matchup line up cleanly for Cade to deliver multiple yardage thresholds.
๐ Official Picks
Cade Otton (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) 40+ Receiving Yards -120
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