Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Prediction & Betting Pick | MLB AL Wild Card Game 2

📅 Date: Wednesday, October 1, 2025
🕖 Time: 6:08 PM EST
🏟️ Venue: Yankee Stadium – New York, NY

The Red Sox grabbed the upper hand in this Wild Card series with a gritty 3-1 win in Game 1, putting the Yankees on the verge of elimination. Despite striking first on an Anthony Volpe RBI, New York’s offense stalled, and their bullpen once again cracked under the pressure once Max Fried exited the game.

That makes Carlos Rodon the most important player in pinstripes tonight. The veteran left-hander was sharp down the stretch, consistently pitching deep into games while limiting damage. Given how shaky the Yankees’ bullpen looked in Game 1 — and how little trust Aaron Boone can afford to have in them right now — Rodon’s leash should be extended.

Rodon’s Late-Season Surge

Rodon was outstanding in the second half of the season:

• 2.52 ERA over his last 10 starts (60.2 IP, 17 ER)

• Allowed 3 runs or fewer in every outing during that span

• Recorded at least 16 outs in 9 straight starts

• Six straight appearances of 6+ innings

He also posted a career-best win total and finished 4th in the AL in strikeouts (203), showcasing his ability to overpower lineups. Against Boston, Rodon had mixed results earlier in the year but settled in late, posting a win at Yankee Stadium while holding the Red Sox to manageable damage across three total outings (12 Ks in 15.2 IP).

Matchup Factors

The Red Sox offense has been opportunistic, but they’ve struggled at times against high-strikeout lefties. With New York fighting for its postseason life, the Yankees can’t afford to pull Rodon early unless things completely unravel. Unlike Game 1, the plan should be for him to work into the sixth inning, even if he runs into some resistance.

Betting Outlook

This prop is less about dominance and more about opportunity. With the Yankees’ bullpen being a liability and Rodon’s consistent track record of working deep into games, the value lies in trusting him to pitch deep.

📌 Official Pick:
Carlos Rodon (New York Yankees) Over 15.5 Outs (+102)

The Yankees’ season rides on Rodon’s left arm. His form, combined with necessity, makes this a strong angle.

🚨 Upgrade to #TeamPremium 🚨
Ready to take your betting game to the next level? Join our exclusive #TeamPremium community and gain instant access to:
✅ Daily Premium Picks & Max Plays
✅ Advanced Stats & In-Depth Analysis
✅ Direct Access to Proven Sharp Strategies

🔑 Use code MONEY at checkout and save 30% on your membership today.
👉 Upgrade now to #TeamPremium here

Don’t just follow the picks — profit with the Premium edge.