Massachusetts vs Ohio Prediction & Betting Pick | College Football November 18, 2025

📅 Date: Tuesday, November 18, 2025
🕖 Time: 8:00 PM EST
🏟️ Venue: Peden Coliseum - Athens, OH

Ohio hosts UMass and the matchup sets up perfectly for a fast, physical start from the Bobcats. Parker Navarro runs a dependable passing game (about 2,057 yards, 12 TDs) and Sieh Bangura gives them a downhill rushing identity (927 yards, 11 TDs). At home Ohio controls tempo and they’ve been steamrolling opponents early this season — that early control is the edge we want for a first‑half play.

UMass can’t match that balance. AJ Hairston has been the most used QB for the Minutemen but the passing attack has lacked consistency (roughly 957 yards, 4 TDs, 4 INTs), and the ground game is averaging under 3.0 yards per carry. When you can’t move the chains reliably and your run game stalls, you’re gifting the opponent short fields and more possessions — a bad recipe against a disciplined Ohio front.

Defensively Ohio cleans up reps and limits big plays. The Bobcats generate pressure up front and their secondary rarely gives up chunk gains, which forces opponents into longer drives and more predictable third‑down situations. UMass has missed tackles and allowed long scoring drives all season; against an offense that runs efficient early downs, that combination usually creates a fast scoreboard gap.

Trends support the play. Ohio is unbeaten at home in recent stretches, dominant in conference games, and plays well on Tuesdays; meanwhile UMass has been an offensive sieve and games involving them have skewed toward high point totals — but that’s not the same as keeping pace with a home favorite that opens strong. For a first‑half wager we need the early possession control and Ohio provides it.

Game script I expect: Ohio establishes the run with Bangura, Navarro uses quick reads to hit short targets, and Chase Hendricks or others finish with yards after catch. UMass will be forced into predictable passing downs, turning the clock over more often and handing the Bobcats field‑position advantages. By halftime the board should reflect a multi‑score Ohio lead.

I’m on Ohio -20.5 first half at -110. The Bobcats’ home dominance, superior run/pass production, and UMass’s inability to sustain early drives point toward a substantial halftime margin.

📌 Official Picks
Ohio -20.5 First Half -110

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