Seattle Storm at Las Vegas Aces Game 3 Prediction & Betting Pick | WNBA Playoffs

📅 Date: Thursday, September 18, 2025
🕖 Time: 9:30 PM EST
🏟️ Venue: Michelob Ultra Arena - Las Vegas, NY

The WNBA Playoff series between the Las Vegas Aces and Seattle Storm is tied 1-1 after a thrilling Game 2 in Seattle. Now, the decisive Game 3 shifts back to Michelob Ultra Arena, where the Aces have been nearly unbeatable this season.

Las Vegas was dominant in Game 1 with a 102-77 blowout at home, but the Storm responded in Game 2, rallying from 14 points down behind a huge performance from rookie Dominique Malonga. Her clutch defense on A’ja Wilson in the final minutes and and-one finish secured Seattle’s 86-83 win, keeping their championship hopes alive.

Despite the loss, the Aces remain one of the toughest teams in the league at home. They went 17-5 at Michelob Ultra Arena during the regular season and posted a +18.5 net rating in their 17-game winning streak leading into Game 2. In their last two home meetings against Seattle, the Aces led comfortably at the half, winning 43-30 and 44-32 before pulling away to double-digit victories.

Historically, this matchup has been high-scoring early. The Aces have gone Over this first-half line in 5 of the last 6 head-to-head meetings, including 2-0 in the playoffs and 5-0 across their last five matchups overall. Game 1 and Game 2 both hit 45 first-half points for Las Vegas, while in the regular season they posted 47, 45, and 44 in three of the four contests.

For Seattle, Skylar Diggins (19 PPG, 4.5 APG in playoffs) and Nneka Ogwumike (17.5 PPG, 9 RPG) will need to carry the offense again. Malonga has proven to be a difference-maker with her rebounding and rim protection, while Ezi Magbegor’s defense will be tested against Wilson. Still, the Storm’s defense has allowed 92.5 points per game in this series, and slowing down the Aces in transition remains their biggest challenge.

The Aces enter with a full roster and the edge in depth, rebounding, and playoff experience. Wilson (25 PPG, 10.5 RPG in the series) and Jackie Young (21.5 PPG) provide the firepower, while Chelsea Gray’s steady playmaking keeps the offense running smoothly.

At home, Las Vegas has consistently started fast and put pressure on opponents early. Expect more of the same in Game 3 as they look to close out the series.

📌 Official Pick

Las Vegas Aces Over 41.5 First Half Team Total -113

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