Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors Prediction & Betting Pick | NBA 2025-26 October 23, 2025

📅 Date: Thursday, October 23, 2025
🕖 Time: 10:00 PM EST
🏟️ Venue: Chase Center - San Francisco, CA

This is a matchup Jokic eats.

Golden State’s frontcourt has been undersized for years, and it’s the same story again. In his last 10 games vs the Warriors, Jokic has pulled down 12.7 boards on average — hitting 12+ in 7 of those. They just don’t have the bodies to keep him off the glass.

In their opener against the Lakers, the Warriors held their own rebounding-wise — but let’s be real, LA didn’t even lean on their size. Now they’re facing a Denver team that actually uses its bigs, and Jokic is a different animal. If Kerr rolls out Draymond and Horford again as his frontcourt duo (yes, Horford is playing center), Jokic is going to bully them all night.

Also worth noting: Golden State gave up 62 points in the paint in that opener. That’s not just a stat — it’s a red flag. It tells you they’re soft inside, and Denver’s going to exploit that early. Expect Jokic to crash the offensive glass hard and clean up on the defensive end.

This isn’t a guess — it’s a pattern. The matchup favors Jokic in every way. Size, role, history, and opponent vulnerability all line up.

I’m on the over. Let’s cash.

📌 Official Pick

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Over 11.5 Rebounds +100

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