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Washington Commanders at New York Giants Prediction & Betting Pick | NFL Thursday Night Football November 12, 2026
Malik Nabers continues to be the heartbeat of the Giants' passing game, and this matchup lines up well for another productive night. New York's star receiver is averaging 81 yards per game, commands a massive 30% target share, and has already burned Washington for 121 yards earlier this season. The Commanders have been one of the more pass-funnel defenses in the league, allowing opponents to attack through the air while struggling to contain top receiving threats underneath and over the middle. With J.J. McCarthy consistently looking Nabers' way and Washington's injury-hit pass rush unlikely to generate constant pressure, the volume should once again be there for New York's WR1. I expect the Giants to lean on their defense and running game, which also supports McCarthy staying under his pass-attempt number while Washington's inconsistent ground attack makes Austin Ekeler's rushing under attractive as well.