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Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction & Betting Pick | NFL Week 6 October 18, 2026

Two of my favorite prop angles in this matchup come down to volume and proven success. Nico Collins has consistently punished Jacksonville, clearing this yardage number in four straight meetings while averaging nearly 120 receiving yards per game against the Jaguars. Houston's struggling run game only increases the likelihood that C.J. Stroud leans heavily on his top receiver. On the other side, Woody Marks is stepping into a much larger role following David Montgomery's injury, and the workload spike is hard to ignore after he handled virtually every meaningful backfield snap once Montgomery left last week's game. Increased playing time, checkdown opportunities, and game script all point toward another productive day for the Texans' primary pass-catching back.

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