Arkansas vs LSU Prediction & Betting Pick | College Basketball February 10, 2026

📅 Date: Tuesday, February 10, 2026
🕖 Time: 9:00 PM EST
🏟️ Venue: Pete Maravich Assembly Center - Baton Rouge, LA

Arkansas is the cleaner offensive team in this matchup. They’re averaging 88.7 PPG on 50% shooting and move the ball — 17.5 APG — which creates high‑percentage looks and keeps defenses scrambling for matchups.

That offensive profile matters because Arkansas pushes tempo and converts efficiently in transition and in the half court. Over the last month they’ve been one of the nation’s most productive attacks, regularly scoring in bunches and forcing opponents to play at an uncomfortable pace.

LSU can score — they average 82.3 PPG and shoot well overall — but their consistency has been the problem. The Tigers have struggled to sustain defensive stops and have been vulnerable to teams that can both shoot and attack the rim for second chances.

Defensively LSU has shown holes in conference play. Against SEC competition their numbers slip: poor defensive efficiency, weak defensive rebounding, and a tendency to allow opponents easy looks late in possessions. That’s the exact profile Arkansas wants to exploit.

Matchup history matters here. Arkansas already beat LSU by four in the first meeting, and that wasn’t a fluke — the Razorbacks controlled pace and made the more efficient plays down the stretch. Expect them to try and replicate that script on the road.

Depth and recent form favor Arkansas. They’ve been winning and covering on the road, and their offense hasn’t cooled off. When a team can sustain 50% shooting and generate assists at that clip, it’s hard for an inconsistent defense to keep up for 40 minutes.

LSU’s injury situation and recent blowout home losses are real concerns. Missing rotation pieces and shaky defensive rotations make it difficult to stop a balanced attack that can score inside and out. Arkansas should be able to get favorable matchups and exploit those gaps.

This line at -5.5 is where I see value. Arkansas has the offensive efficiency edge, the better recent form, and the matchup tools to win by more than a single possession. I’m taking the Razorbacks to cover and likely win big.

📌 Official Pick
Arkansas -5.5 -112 — confident play on the road team with the superior offense and matchup advantage.

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