Creighton Women vs Connecticut Women Prediction & Betting Pick | Womenโs College Basketball February 11, 2026
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Date: Tuesday, February 11, 2026
๐ Time: 7:00 PM EST
๐๏ธ Venue: Harry A. Gampel Pavilion - Storrs, CT
UConn walked into Omaha in January and turned that game into a blowout โ 95โ54 โ and nothing about the box score suggested that was a fluke. Four Huskies finished in double figures and the team shot at an elite clip across the board.
Sarah Strong was the engine that night: 18 points, 13 rebounds, six assists and five steals. Thatโs the kind of twoโway impact that flips possessions and shortens games for opponents before halftime even becomes a factor.
Blanca Quiรฑonez gave UConn a spark off the bench with 15 points, and sheโs been working back into the rotation after a shoulder issue. Her potential return tonight only deepens a bench that already creates matchup problems.
Azzi Fudd and Ashlynn Shade also did their part in that first meeting โ Fudd with 14 and five assists, Shade with 12 โ and UConnโs balance is what makes them so hard to gameโplan for in the opening 20 minutes.
Creightonโs bright spot in Omaha was freshman Ava Zediker, who poured in 23 on efficient shooting (7โ12 FGs). Sheโs been the Bluejaysโ primary scorer and has carried them through a fourโgame win streak, including a 25โpoint outing in the OT win over Marquette.
Still, Creightonโs offense is a different animal when UConn brings pressure. The Huskies turned 22 Creighton turnovers into 26 points in the first matchup โ that kind of early damage is exactly why the first half line is where the value sits.
UConnโs season numbers are absurd: 89.8 PPG while allowing 50.6, a +39.2 margin and a +982 scoring differential. Those arenโt just stats โ theyโre evidence UConn closes the door quickly and often before opponents can settle.
Creightonโs profile is respectable โ a +26 differential and a hot streak โ but they average 69.5 PPG and have struggled to hit threes against pressure. Zediker (13.8 PPG) is a real piece, but she canโt carry the team through sustained defensive onslaughts.
This one projects as an early UConn run, heavy defensive pressure, and Creighton forced into uncomfortable possessions. Expect UConn to separate by halftime and coast in the second half as they manage minutes ahead of a quick turnaround.
๐ Official Pick
Connecticut Women -22.5 First Half -120 โ backing the reigning champs to establish control early and make the first 20 minutes the decisive frame.
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