Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks Prediction & Betting Pick | NFL Thursday Night Football December 18, 2025

📅 Date: Thursday, December 18, 2025
🕖 Time: 8:15 PM EST
🏟️ Venue: Lumen Field - Seattle, WA

JSN is having one of those seasons you don’t see often. He’s piled up 1,541 receiving yards, leads the league in yards per route run, and commands a 31.6% target share — that’s elite usage, week in and week out. When a receiver is getting that many looks, the floor on catches is already high.

Volume is the backbone of this play. Through 14 games he’s been targeted 130 times and hauled in 96 catches; he’s reached at least seven receptions in 10 of 14 outings. That kind of consistency makes 6.5 catches feel like a conservative number for a player who’s the clear focal point of the offense.

Recent form only sharpens the case. Smith‑Njigba has four TDs in his last four games, and he posted 9 catches for 105 yards the last time these teams met. He’s gone over 100 yards eight times this year and has 12 games north of 90 yards — the production is real and repeatable.

Matchup context favors the pass. The Rams’ front is strong against the run, so Seattle should lean into throwing to move the chains. Los Angeles has also allowed a surprising number of receiving TDs to wideouts recently, which suggests they’re vulnerable in the secondary in certain spots. That creates more opportunities for Smith‑Njigba to be targeted and to convert those targets into catches.

Game script matters here, too. Seattle is chasing the top of the NFC and will want to control this one through its passing game if the run is clogged. With JSN’s role and the Seahawks’ need to move the ball efficiently, expect a steady stream of targets his way — especially on early downs and in intermediate areas where he thrives.

There’s some risk if the Rams roll out extra defensive attention or if JSN leaves early, but his target floor is one of the best in the league. Even with schemed coverage, he’s been getting 9+ targets in 10 games, which gives this prop a strong baseline. I like the value on the receptions line given the usage and matchup.

📌 Official Picks
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seattle Seahawks) Over 6.5 Receptions -116 — confident play. He’s the focal point, the volume is there, and the matchup sets up for a busy night.

🚨 Upgrade to #TeamPremium 🚨
Ready to take your betting game to the next level? Join our exclusive #TeamPremium community and gain instant access to:
✅ Daily Premium Picks & Max Plays
✅ Advanced Stats & In-Depth Analysis
✅ Direct Access to Proven Sharp Strategies

🔑 Use code MONEY at checkout and save 30% on your membership today.

🔑 Maximize your edge with OddsJam — now 35% off when you use code "PREMIUM".
👉 Upgrade now to #TeamPremium here

Don’t just follow the picks — profit with the Premium edge.