Los Angeles Chargers at Tennessee Titans Prediction & Betting Pick | NFL 25-26 Season Week 9

📅 Date: Sunday, November 2, 2025

🕖 Time: 1:00 PM EST

🏟️ Venue: Nissan Stadium - Nashville, TN

McConkey has stopped being a gadget and started operating like a clear number-two target in the Chargers’ passing game. His target volume is real — averaging roughly nine targets a game with recent spikes of 9, 15, 10 — and that baseline alone makes 58.5 feel reachable on structure rather than variance.

Tennessee’s perimeter coverage is a weakness you can attack. The Titans rank poorly defending outside receivers, and the Chargers will consistently move McConkey into one-on-one boundary spots and quick timing concepts designed to carve soft edges. A handful of intermediate catches or one chunk play gets him past this line; you don’t need a touchdown, just efficient accumulation.

Scheme and game script help the cause. If the Chargers push tempo or use motion to create favorable alignments, McConkey’s share should hold or climb. If the contest stays tight, more third-down and intermediate work keeps him involved. Either scenario produces the kind of steady target volume that wins receiving-yard props.

Digging into usage since Week 5 shows the underlying reason for confidence. McConkey’s been WR6 in fantasy PPG over that span, posting a 26.5% target share, 73.5 receiving yards per game, 2.01 yards per route run, and a 26.7% first-read share. He’s also led the team in red-zone targets and logged multiple deep looks — that’s not a fluke role, it’s repeatable involvement.

Matchup caveats exist but aren’t dealbreakers. Tennessee runs a lot of two-high looks (third highest rate in the league), and McConkey’s production has dipped specifically against two-high coverage (lower yards per route run). Still, personnel changes in the Titans’ nickel — with Samuel Womack III stepping in — swing the matchup back toward the Chargers; McConkey projects to see easier alignments against that coverage profile than some slot specialists would.

Risk control: if LA jumps out and leans on the run, or if Tennessee brackets McConkey heavily, the line can slip into the 50–60 band. Those outcomes are possible but unlikely given McConkey’s route participation, target share, and the Titans’ known issues on the boundary. I’ll back the over — structural volume plus matchup access makes 58.5 a buy.

📌 Official Picks
Ladd McConkey (Los Angeles Chargers) Over 58.5 Receiving Yards -110

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