UNC Greensboro at Kansas State Prediction & Betting Pick | College Basketball November 4, 2025

📅 Date: Tuesday, November 4, 2025
🕖 Time: 7:00 PM EST
🏟️ Venue: Bramlage Coliseum - Manhattan, KS

Kansas State should be able to impose its size and athleticism from the opening tip. The Wildcats bring transfer-driven length up front and perimeter scoring that UNCG lacks answers for at the moment. Expect Kansas State to push pace in transition early and use offensive rebounding to create second-chance points — two clear edges against a Spartan roster that’s deeper in experience than in explosiveness.

UNC Greensboro remains the same defensive-minded, low-possession team that frustrated opponents last year. Mike Jones’ group prizes half-court discipline, limiting opponent attempts and forcing turnover-driven possessions. That identity will keep the game competitive early and help UNCG avoid a fast collapse, but it also means they’re likely to struggle when foul trouble or offensive rebounding sends the game into the Wildcats’ preferred up-tempo rhythm.

Look for the matchup battlelines to be decided on the glass and at the rim. Kansas State added multiple frontcourt pieces who give them an immediate rebounding and interior-scoring upgrade over last season. Those bodies will be critical once possessions lengthen — UNCG defends well, but they don’t have a consistent interior matchup to deter putbacks or finishes through contact, which opens the door for K-State to build a multi-score lead by halftime.

Offensively, Kansas State’s mix of transfer scorers and wing shooters should create easier looks than UNCG’s deliberate sets can account for. P.J. Haggerty-type shooting (and whoever handles the primary ball-screen spacing) will pull defenders away from the paint and create driving lanes and kickouts. If K-State hits early threes, UNC Greensboro’s defensive plan — centered on taking away the paint — will be stressed and the game becomes much tougher for the visitors.

Risk vectors: a slow shooting night from the Wildcats, early foul trouble to key bigs, or UNCG finding an unusually hot offensive rhythm could compress the margin. Still, those are lower-probability outcomes in an opener where Kansas State’s new pieces are expected to play aggressive and big minutes. Home-court advantage at Bramlage Coliseum also matters — this is a place where the Wildcats can turn pressure defense into easy offense.

I’ll take Kansas State -15.5. The combination of superior size, offensive upside from transfers, and a rebounding mismatch projects to create a layered lead rather than a one-off scoring burst. Expect Kansas State to control the second half and cover the spread.

📌 Official Picks
Kansas State -15.5 -110

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