San Francisco vs Gonzaga Prediction & Betting Pick | College Basketball January 24, 2026

đź“… Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026
đź•– Time: 8:00 PM EST
🏟️ Venue: McCarthey Athletic Center - Spokane, WA

Gonzaga rolls into Spokane with a resume that’s hard to argue with — 20–1, top‑10 ranking, and coming off a 24‑point win over Pepperdine. They’ve been humming on both ends of the floor and McCarthey Athletic Center is a place where they turn that consistency into blowouts. This line is about tempo and depth; Gonzaga controls both.

San Francisco has been solid at times — 13–8 and four wins in five is nothing to sneeze at — but they’re a different animal on the road. The Dons average about 76 points per game and can hang in stretches, yet their recent defensive lapses (allowing 83 in two losses) expose them against elite offenses. That’s the mismatch here.

Offensively Gonzaga is elite: nearly 90 points per game on 52% shooting. They move the ball, attack closeouts, and get high‑percentage looks inside. Graham Ike and Braden Huff give them two reliable finishers, and when Tyon Grant‑Foster spaces the floor, the Bulldogs become almost impossible to slow down.

San Francisco’s scoring is more concentrated. Ryan Beasley and David Fuchs carry the load, but they don’t have the same secondary scoring depth. When Gonzaga turns up the defensive pressure and forces turnovers, the Dons don’t have the bench firepower to match runs. That’s where the game will tilt.

Defensively Gonzaga has tightened up lately, holding opponents to the mid‑60s and even 55 across their last two wins. That kind of stinginess combined with their offensive efficiency creates the classic recipe for a large margin: stop the opponent, score in transition, and finish possessions with high‑value shots.

Matchups matter. Gonzaga’s size and athleticism inside will challenge San Francisco’s frontcourt on the glass and in the paint. If the Bulldogs win the rebound battle and convert second‑chance points, the Dons will be forced into low‑percentage jumpers — exactly the scenario that inflates the spread.

Tempo is another factor. Gonzaga prefers to push when they can; San Francisco’s best path is to slow things down. But on the road, against a top‑10 team, the Dons rarely get to dictate pace. Expect Gonzaga to set the tempo early and keep it there.

Home crowd and depth are underrated edges. Gonzaga’s bench can sustain pressure and keep starters fresh, which matters late when leads get extended. San Francisco’s rotation is shorter and will show fatigue if the Bulldogs maintain a high work rate.

This isn’t a pick against San Francisco — they’ve earned their wins — it’s a pick for matchup dynamics. Gonzaga’s offensive firepower, defensive discipline, and home advantage create a clear path to a comfortable cover.

📌 Official Picks
Gonzaga -18 -110
— expect a dominant, controlled performance and a sizable margin by halftime and finish.

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