LSU vs Arkansas Prediction & Betting Pick | College Basketball January 24, 2026

📅 Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026
🕖 Time: 5:00 PM EST
🏟️ Venue: Bud Walton Arena - Fayetteville, AR

LSU heads to Fayetteville with a wobble. They’re 13–6 overall but have dropped four of five, including an ugly 18‑point loss at Florida. That stretch hasn’t been a fluke — their offense has cooled and the defense has been leakier than earlier in the season.

Stat line context matters. LSU averages 83.3 points on the year, but over the last four losses they’ve managed just 69 points per game. That’s a big swing and it suggests their usual offensive rhythm has been disrupted, whether by matchup issues or confidence problems.

Defensively, the Tigers have also slipped. Season numbers show they allow about 72.8 points, but during this recent skid that number has climbed toward 79. When both ends are trending in the wrong direction, you don’t want to bank on a shootout.

Arkansas, meanwhile, is playing well at home and looks more consistent. The Razorbacks sit at 14–5 and are ranked inside the top 25, coming off a 25‑point win over Vanderbilt. Their offense is humming — nearly 90 points per game on the season — and they’ve got multiple scorers who can carry the load.

Darius Acuff Jr. is the engine for Arkansas, averaging close to 20 points and handing out assists. Meleek Thomas and Travon Brazile give them secondary scoring and rebounding balance. That depth matters in a game where pace and execution will decide the outcome.

Matchup-wise, Arkansas wants to push and score in transition; LSU’s recent offensive struggles make that plan easier to execute. If the Razorbacks control tempo and force LSU into half‑court sets, the Tigers’ scoring ceiling looks limited.

Tempo and possessions are the key to the total. With LSU’s offense sputtering and Arkansas capable of grinding possessions when needed, this projects as a controlled game rather than a free‑wheeling shootout. Both teams have reasons to slow things down at times.

Injury and rotation notes don’t change the core read: LSU’s recent form is a red flag for over bettors. Arkansas has the home advantage and the offensive balance to keep scoring without turning this into a track meet.

I’m siding with the under because the trends point to fewer possessions and lower efficiency from LSU. Expect a physical, half‑court battle where points come in stretches — not waves.

📌 Official Picks
Under 163.5 -110

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