Coastal Carolina vs Louisiana Tech Prediction & Betting Pick | College Football (Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl) December 30, 2025
đź“… Date: Tuesday, December 30, 2025
đź•– Time: 1:00 PM EST
🏟️ Venue: Independence Stadium - Shreveport, LA
Louisiana Tech closes the year with momentum and a clearer identity than Coastal Carolina. The Bulldogs finished strong and bring a balanced attack into the Independence Bowl, while the Chanticleers limp in after a 59–10 blowout loss that exposed a lot of structural problems.
Coastal’s offense has been unsettled all season. Tad Hudson has taken most snaps but the passing numbers are thin (114‑of‑205, 942 yards, 4 TDs), and the staff turnover with Tim Beck gone leaves preparation and game‑planning in question. That instability matters in a short‑prep bowl window.
The Chanticleers’ run game is serviceable through Ja’Vin Simpkins, but he’s not a game‑breaker. Simpkins’ 568 yards and two TDs help balance the offense, yet Coastal’s inability to stop the run late in the year is a glaring defensive hole that Louisiana Tech can exploit.
Louisiana Tech’s offense is built around Trey Kukuk’s mobility and a physical ground game led by Clay Thevenin (605 yards, 8 TDs). Kukuk hasn’t thrown a ton, but his legs have been decisive recently — that dual threat changes how opponents defend and creates consistent positive plays on early downs.
Eli Finley gives the Bulldogs a reliable chain‑mover in the passing game, and the short‑to‑intermediate approach keeps drives alive. That’s the kind of offense that grinds clock and piles up yards without needing explosive plays every drive.
Defensively, Louisiana Tech has playmakers who create turnovers — Jakari Foster’s seven interceptions and Jacob Fields’ tackling presence matter in a matchup where Coastal has struggled to protect the ball and sustain drives late in games.
Coastal’s slide to finish the season is real: three losses in four, multiple games where they allowed 45+ points, and a defense that has been gashed on the ground. Those trends don’t reverse overnight, especially against a team that finishes games with better execution.
Matchup and script favor the Bulldogs. If Louisiana Tech establishes the run and forces Coastal into predictable passing situations, the Chanticleers’ rotation at quarterback and coaching disruption will make it hard for them to respond.
📌 Official Picks
Louisiana Tech -10.5 -106 because the Bulldogs bring steadier QB play, a more reliable rushing attack, and a defense that can force mistakes. Expect Tech to control tempo, win the trenches, and cover by double digits.
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