Arizona State vs Arizona Prediction & Betting Pick | College Basketball January 14, 2026

📅 Date: Wednesday, January 14, 2026
🕖 Time: 10:30 PM EST
🏟️ Venue: McKale Memorial Center - Tucson, AZ

Arizona State arrives in Tucson 10–6, coming off a narrow win over Kansas State that snapped a rough stretch. They’ve lost four of five overall, but that recent victory gave them a little breathing room and some confidence heading into hostile territory.

Offensively the Sun Devils can score. They’re averaging about 80.8 points per game on 46 percent shooting, and Maurice Odum is the engine with 16.4 points and 6.4 assists. Anthony Johnson and Massamba Diop provide secondary scoring, so this group can pile up points when shots fall.

Defensively, Arizona State has been shaky lately. They’ve allowed nearly 92 points per game across a four‑game skid, which explains why their recent form looks worse than the season numbers. Rebounding and late‑game defense have been particular trouble spots.

Arizona is the nation’s top team for a reason. They average 91.1 points on 52 percent shooting and defend at a high level, holding opponents to roughly 68 points. Their balance is impressive — Koa Peat, Brayden Burries and Jaden Bradley all contribute in scoring and playmaking.

Arizona’s depth and two‑way efficiency make them capable of blowing teams out, especially at home. Tobe Awuke and the frontcourt work the glass hard; Arizona’s ability to convert offensive rebounds into second‑chance points inflates totals quickly.

Matchup dynamics favor scoring. Arizona State’s defensive lapses meet Arizona’s offensive firepower. If the Wildcats push tempo and the Sun Devils trade baskets instead of slowing the game, the scoreboard will climb fast.

Both teams have recent trends that support the Over. Arizona State’s totals have gone over in six straight games and ten of their last twelve. Arizona has cleared the total in five straight outings as well. Those aren’t coincidences — both sides are playing through offenses right now.

Game script matters: expect Arizona to try to run and punish mistakes, while ASU will look to attack the rim and get to the line. That combination produces possessions that end in points rather than long, defensive possessions that keep scores low.

This feels like a game where the Wildcats hit their ceiling and the Sun Devils keep pace enough to push the total past 167.5. I’m siding with the market on pace and efficiency — play the Over.

📌 Official Picks
Arizona State vs Arizona Over 167.5 -115

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