IU Indianapolis vs Eastern Michigan Prediction & Betting Pick | College Basketball November 14, 2025

📅 Date: Friday, November 14, 2025
🕖 Time: 9:00 PM EST
🏟️ Venue: Gervin GameAbove Center - Ypsilanti, MI

IU Indianapolis can score in bunches but they’ve shown defensive cracks that inflate game totals; they average about 98 points per game on 46% shooting, yet give up north of 100 in most outings. Matt Compas is the engine (18.5 PPG on 61% shooting) and Finley Woodward’s playmaking (5.5 AST) keeps the half‑court sets humming, but the Jaguars’ defensive discipline falls apart away from home and that pushes quick, high‑volume exchanges rather than controlled possession football.

Eastern Michigan’s identity is the opposite: slower, physical, and rebound‑first. The Eagles score roughly 68.5 points on 40% shooting while limiting opponents to the low 60s, and they’ve cleaned the glass hard (around 44.5 rebounds per game). Carlos Hart and Mohammad Habhab combine perimeter creation with interior grit, and Addison Patterson adds secondary scoring and boards that flip missed Jaguars’ shots into long possessions for EMU.

Matchup-wise this tilts toward fewer total possessions. IU‑Indianapolis wants to run and trade baskets; Eastern Michigan wants to slow the pace, win the rebounding battle, and make every possession count. When EMU executes its half‑court defense and corrals rebounds, it denies the Jaguars the transition points that fuel late‑game shootouts — that’s a straightforward path to keeping the score under the number.

Turnovers and shot quality are key levers. IU‑Indianapolis generates points off quick looks and transition, but they also leak points on defensive breakdowns and offensive rebounds allowed. EMU’s emphasis on contesting shots and cleaning the glass lowers IU‑Indianapolis’ effective field‑goal rate and shortens the game’s play count, which suppresses scoring totals on both ends.

Game script I expect: EMU grinds the clock with physical post actions and half‑court sets, IU‑Indianapolis will have sporadic scoring bursts but struggle to sustain long, efficient runs. A steady flow of offensive rebounds and contested attempts from EMU keeps the Jaguars from turning momentum into prolonged scoring runs, and that sequence caps both team totals.

I’m taking the Under 186.5 at -110. Between EMU’s rebound-and-slow approach, IU‑Indianapolis’ defensive instability on the road, and the matchup incentives to shorten possessions, the projection favors a sub‑186.5 final.

📌 Official Picks
IU Indianapolis vs Eastern Michigan Under 186.5 -110

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