Minnesota at Oregon Prediction & Betting Pick | College Football November 14, 2025

📅 Date: Friday, November 14, 2025
🕖 Time: 9:00 PM EST
🏟️ Venue: Autzen Stadium - Eugene, OR

Oregon comes in with a clear offensive identity — Dante Moore is carving defenses with efficient ball placement (71.4% completion) and the run game behind Davison and Whittington keeps defensive fronts honest. That balance lets the Ducks open early windows, which is exactly the kind of advantage you want for a first‑half spread. Expect tempo, clean execution, and quick scoring drives out of Eugene.

Minnesota’s attack is more methodical. Drake Lindsey moves the chains at a respectable 62.2% clip, and the Gophers lean on a two‑back rotation that controls clock and limits explosive plays. Le’Meke Brockington is the primary threat in the passing game, but Minnesota’s offense often needs longer possessions to cash in, which works against covering an early double‑digit first‑half margin.

Defensively Oregon has playmakers in the secondary and enough rush presence to force hurried throws. The Ducks have produced nine interceptions this season and bring consistent pressure from their front; that turnover upside and situational disruption frequently short‑circuits opponents early. If Oregon lands two quick drives and forces a punt, the line moves in their favor fast.

Minnesota can compete on the ground and has defenders who pile up tackles and create contact (Anthony Smith’s 8.5 sacks is a real edge), but their strength is slow‑build control rather than immediate scoring bursts. Against a home Ducks unit that scores early and often, the Gophers’ best blueprint is to shorten the game — which still doesn’t erase the first‑half gap.

Game script projection: Oregon opens with multiple hurry‑up sets and early play‑action to exploit attention on the run. Minnesota will respond with longer, possession‑based drives, but those take time and rarely overcome an early two‑score swing. In first‑half betting, early momentum and a few efficient drives make the -13.5 target reachable.

I’m backing Oregon -13.5 (First Half) at -125. The matchup favors an aggressive Ducks start — efficient passing, a credible ground threat, and a defense that creates early disruption — all the ingredients for a first‑half blowout scenario.

📌 Official Picks
Oregon -13.5 First Half -125
Noah Whittington (Oregon) Over 74.5 Rushing Yards -116

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