Wisconsin at Indiana Prediction & Betting Pick | College Football Week 12 (November 15, 2025)

📅 Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025
🕖 Time: 12:00 PM EST
🏟️ Venue: Memorial Stadium - Bloomington, IN

Indiana opens fast and that’s the edge here. Fernando Mendoza has been efficient all season (2,342 passing yards) and the Hoosiers have relied on a balanced approach that’s averaged north of 40 points over the last five games. When Indiana pushes tempo early, opponents are forced into catch-up mode — exactly the situation that makes a large first‑half number exploitable.

Mendoza’s performance against Penn State showed two things: he can manage pressure and still generate quick, productive drives. Roman Hemby and Kaelon Black give Indiana a reliable ground game (656 and 651 yards) that lets the offense chew clock and set up play‑action shots to Omar Cooper Jr., who’s a clear early‑down target (701 receiving yards).

Wisconsin’s recent win over Washington was a grind, not a flash. The Badgers lean on long drives and ball control; Danny O’Neil (635 passing yards) and the receiving corps aren’t built for rapid-fire scoring. That makes Wisconsin better suited to slow the game — useful late, but not ideal against a first‑half spread.

Defensively, Wisconsin has stabilized, holding opponents to about 25 points over their last five. Still, those numbers came without facing an offense that mixes accurate passing with two effective rushers. Indiana’s mix of quick completions and early tempo should produce the kind of mismatches Wisconsin struggles to correct immediately.

Expect Indiana to open by establishing the run, attacking edges, and taking a couple quick shots downfield when coverages creep up. If the Hoosiers convert a pair of early drives into points, the first‑half gap balloons quickly. Wisconsin’s best counter is long, time‑consuming drives — a strategy that doesn’t erase an early double‑digit halftime hole.

📌 Official Picks
Indiana -16.5 First Half -118

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