Baltimore Ravens at Minnesota Vikings Prediction & Betting Pick | NFL Week 10 November 9, 2025

📅 Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025
🕖 Time: 1:00 PM EST
🏟️ Venue: US Bank Stadium - Minneapolis, MN

Zay Flowers is the Ravens’ primary perimeter threat — a 28.4% target share and about 68.8 receiving yards per game tells you where Lamar looks when he wants chunk plays. He’s running routes that create real opportunities (2.42 YPRR) and he’s often the QB’s first read (33.6% first-read share), so volume and efficiency converge for a consistent yardage floor.

Matchup tilts toward Flowers. Minnesota loads two-high shells at the highest rate in the league (69.7%), a coverage look that dampens some of his route efficiency (1.66 YPRR vs two-high). But the Vikings also blitz a ton (40.6%), and Flowers absolutely eats against pressure — his numbers jump to a 31.3% target share and 3.29 YPRR when the blitz comes. Those blitz splits matter: when the Vikings send heat, Lamar looks to his perimeter weapon and Flowers turns pressure into yards.

Recent form widens the edge. Since Week 5 Minnesota has been one of the worst defenses against perimeter and deep passing — highest deep completion rate and heavy PPR points to outside receivers. Over the last three games they’ve allowed 9.0 yards per pass and multiple opponents have handed them 77+ receiving-yard games. That’s the context Flowers will exploit.

Volume projects well, too. With Lamar fully healthy, Flowers averages 73.8 receiving yards in games they’ve both played together and has cleared the 69.5 mark in three of five such contests. He’s consistently seeing deep looks — seven 20+ yard targets in those snaps — and that upside pairs with his steady target share to make the 67.5 number vulnerable.

Game script supports it. Baltimore can threaten vertically and force Minnesota into stressful coverages; when the Vikings blitz to disrupt the run or hurry Lamar, Flowers becomes the outlet and the big-play threat. Expect a mix of intermediate chemistry and a few explosive downfield grabs that push the total past this line.

I’m backing Zay Flowers Over 67.5 yards at -120. The target volume, his efficiency under pressure, and a Vikings secondary that’s surrendered chunk plays recently combine into a clean path for Flowers to hit this number.

📌 Official Picks
Zay Flowers (Baltimore Ravens) Over 67.5 Receiving Yards -120

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