Southern Indiana vs South Dakota Prediction & Betting Pick | College Basketball November 12, 2025

📅 Date: Wednesday, November 12, 2025
🕖 Time: 8:00 PM EST
🏟️ Venue: Sanford Coyote Sports Center - Vermillion, SD

South Dakota should control tempo at home and that sets the table for a low-scoring affair. The Coyotes have shown they can pile on points (92.0 PPG, 46.8% team shooting, and a 121-point outburst last game), but their defense has been porous enough that clock management and efficient half‑court offense become the path to victory rather than an all-out shootout. When South Dakota runs its sets and grinds possessions, they limit total possessions — exactly what pushes a game under this mark.

Southern Indiana hasn’t provided evidence they can keep pace. The Screaming Eagles are averaging just 66 points on 33.1% shooting and have surrendered 83.0 PPG defensively. Their offense is one‑dimensional so far: Ismail Habib is the only consistent scoring threat (18.0 PPG), with Kaden Brown and Trey Thomas trailing behind. Against a team that wants to shorten possessions, Southern Indiana’s inefficiency and low assist numbers make scoring runs unlikely.

Matchups matter here. South Dakota’s lineup features multiple scorers — Isaac Burns leads with 17.7 PPG, plus Jordan Crawford and Peter Ihnen chipping in — which lets the Coyotes attack selectively and avoid quick, high‑variance possessions. Southern Indiana will struggle to create easy looks in transition because South Dakota cleans the glass and converts misses into controlled offense rather than frantic exchanges.

Turnovers and rebounding should be the decisive levers. The Screaming Eagles’ poor shooting heightens the value of offensive rebounds and second‑chance points; South Dakota has shown the ability to limit those opportunities and capitalize when opponents miss. Fewer second‑chance possessions and deliberate play-calling on both sides will keep the total depressed.

Tempo projection: expect a measured first half with South Dakota working inside and Southern Indiana forced into longer possessions to generate points. The second half should resemble more clock‑management than run‑and‑gun, with the Coyotes protecting a lead by cutting down on risky shots and letting the shot clock do work. That script reduces shot volume and scoring bursts.

I’m taking the Under 166.5 at -110. Between South Dakota’s incentive to control pace, Southern Indiana’s offensive struggles, and the matchup edges on the glass and in turnovers, the path to a sub‑166.5 final is clear.

📌 Official Picks
Southern Indiana vs South Dakota Under 166.5 -110

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