Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction & Betting Pick | NFL Week 10 November 9, 2025

📅 Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025
🕖 Time: 9:30 AM EST
🏟️ Venue: Olympiastadion - Berlin, Germany

The Colts’ ground game had an off week against a defense that forced them into more passing late, and Jonathan Taylor’s 45 yards on 14 carries looked more like a function of game script than a true decline. He still caught both targets for 12 yards, but the bigger takeaway was volume being repurposed when Indy trailed. One slow outing doesn’t change the profile of a runner averaging 5.7 yards per carry and roughly 99.4 rushing yards per game this season.

Matchup matters. Atlanta’s secondary has carried this unit all year, but their run defense has been a recurring weakness — bottom-third in opponent rush EPA and near the bottom in rush success rate. Those numbers scream opportunity for a downhill back who gets volume and early-down work. Taylor’s power and contact balance make him the kind of back who benefits when a team can’t consistently stop the line of scrimmage.

Berlin gives us a neutral-site wrinkle, but it doesn’t neutralize the Colts’ plan to hand the ball to their bellcow. When Indy can establish early rushing efficiency, it forces play-action and keeps the Falcons’ edge rushers honest. The Week 9 box score was more an outlier driven by game circumstances than a new baseline for Taylor’s production, and bettors buying his floor this week are misreading the sample.

Coach-driven tendencies also favor the play. When Taylor gets the front‑side reps, Indianapolis leans on him in early-down sequences and in second‑and‑short scenarios where he converts consistently. Expect the Colts to script run sets and target him on early drives — the safest path to a 100-yard week is the one that hands him 20+ quality carries with a mix of inside power and outside zones.

Risk is real: if Indy falls behind early and the script forces pass-heavy adjustments again, the prop becomes shakier. But this Falcons defense surrenders consistent ground production over a stretch, and Taylor’s season-long efficiency suggests volume will translate to yards. I like the combination of expectation and matchup at plus-money.

Final say: back JT to top 100 rushing yards in Berlin. He’s the usage bellwether for this offense, the matchup lines up, and the single below‑average game last week reads as variance rather than a trend — play Jonathan Taylor 100+ rush yards (+105).

📌 Official Picks
Jonathan Taylor (Indianapolis Colts) 100+ Rushing Yards +105

🚨 Upgrade to #TeamPremium 🚨
Ready to take your betting game to the next level? Join our exclusive #TeamPremium community and gain instant access to:
✅ Daily Premium Picks & Max Plays
✅ Advanced Stats & In-Depth Analysis
✅ Direct Access to Proven Sharp Strategies

🔑 Use code MONEY at checkout and save 30% on your membership today.

🔑 Maximize your edge with OddsJam — now 35% off when you use code "PREMIUM".
👉 Upgrade now to #TeamPremium here

Don’t just follow the picks — profit with the Premium edge.