Bellarmine vs Kansas State Prediction & Betting Pick | College Basketball November 8, 2025

📅 Date: Saturday, November 8, 2025
🕖 Time: 8:00 PM EST
🏟️ Venue: Bramlage Coliseum - Manhattan, KS

Kansas State comes home off a 93–64 opener and the way they started the season suggests they’ll control pace in Manhattan. The Wildcats shot just over 50% as a team, turned 22 assists against 11 turnovers, and dominated the glass 42–29. PJ Haggerty looked explosive with 27 points and Kansas State’s frontcourt size translated into seven blocks and consistent second‑chance prevention.

Bellarmine’s first outing was the opposite: a 104–59 loss where defensive issues were glaring. The Knights managed 40.4% shooting but gave up 59% on the other end and were regularly beaten on perimeter closeouts. Jay Karasinski supplied scoring (23 points) but the supporting cast couldn’t match Georgia’s length and speed; 29 rebounds and 16 assists couldn’t offset lapses that turned the game into a track meet.

Matchup dynamics push toward a lower total. Kansas State has the personnel to slow things down at home — they control tempo with size and force opponents into half‑court shots. Bellarmine’s weakness defending without fouling and their trouble limiting offensive rebounds makes them likely to try to shorten possessions, not run with the Wildcats.

Both teams have incentive to avoid a shootout. Kansas State benefits from grinding clocks and attacking selectively in transition; Bellarmine needs to keep possessions long to hide defensive mismatches. When one side prefers to slow and the other can impose physicality inside, games rarely balloon into high‑scoring affairs.

The opener numbers back this projection. Kansas State turned defensive stops into efficient offense rather than shot explosions, while Bellarmine’s defensive breakdowns came against a superior opponent that consistently turned turnovers into fast points. This setup makes a sub‑171.5 total realistic — the margin of victory looks likelier to come from possessions won and time eaten, not run-and-gun scoring.

I’m taking the Under 171.5 at -110. Expect Kansas State to control tempo with their size, Bellarmine to try and slow the game, and the scoreboard to reflect disciplined possessions more than a scoring bonanza.

📌 Official Picks
Bellarmine vs Kansas State Under 171.5 -110

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