Pepperdine at UCLA Prediction & Betting Pick | College Basketball November 7, 2025

📅 Date: Friday, November 7, 2025
🕖 Time: 10:30 PM EST
🏟️ Venue: Pauley Pavilion - Los Angeles, CA

UCLA’s talent and depth should overwhelm Pepperdine from the jump. The Bruins looked smooth in their opener — efficient shooting, strong glass, and 16 forced turnovers — even if they allowed a hot-shooting Eastern Washington night. At Pauley, that pedigree matters: UCLA controls pace, wins the rebound battle, and turns defensive activity into easy offense.

Pepperdine comes in unbeaten, but the sample is tiny. They shot well in their season opener (53.2% and 10 made threes) and won the rebound margin by a wide gap, yet they also surrendered 80 points and looked vulnerable on ball-screen coverage. Winning on the road at a top-15 program requires more consistency on both ends than the Waves have shown so far.

Matchups favor the Bruins across the board. UCLA’s size and depth should negate Pepperdine’s initial rebounding edge and limit second-chance points. Donovan Dent’s ability to finish and the Bruins’ turnover creation will create rhythm and scoring runs, while Pepperdine will struggle to sustain efficient offense when forced into contested shots and late-clock possessions.

Tempo and bench minutes swing this one wide. UCLA can push transitional advantages off turnovers and then slow the game to milk the clock when ahead. Pepperdine’s bench produced early, but Pauley’s physicality and the Bruins’ frontcourt rotations will wear on the Waves over 40 minutes. The result should be a progressively larger margin as the second half unfolds.

Risk factors are straightforward: an off shooting night for UCLA or an unusually efficient road performance from Pepperdine could tighten the score. Those are lower-probability outcomes against a conference-caliber defensive plan and home-court pressure. Even with a single-game sample, the structural edges line up heavily for the Bruins.

I’m backing UCLA -27.5. Expect a dominant home performance and a growing second-half lead — projection: UCLA by 30+ at Pauley Pavilion.

📌 Official Picks
UCLA -27.5 -110

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